Saturday, July 23, 2016

The Wonder of Transparency – Missing in Banking and Politics

 

As we progress (?) from one political party’s convention (Republican) to the next convention (Democratic), I saw a comment about the Republican Convention that got me to thinking about transparency. These conventions were designed to delineate policy for each of the party’s candidates, regardless of the political level. Candidates from the vaunted dog catcher of a local municipality to the presidential and congressional candidates, are defined by their adherence to these policies, called platforms, if they take on the “R” or “D” label.

So what does this have to do with transparency? First, I will present some background.

One area which has become very opaque is the financial sector. There is much deception, fraud and corruption, just like in politics.

The business relationship between commercial and investment banking and insurance, known as the financial industries, is a complex one. Early in another depression (yes we are currently also in a depression), the American leadership tried to clarify the relationship between and legislate these financial industries in 1933. A major piece of legislation, the Banking Act of 1933, became known as the Glass-Steagall Act. It is explained as follows:

“Congress saw the need for substantial reform of the banking system, which eventually came in the Banking Act of 1933, or the Glass-Steagall Act. The bill was designed “to provide for the safer and more effective use of the assets of banks, to regulate interbank control, to prevent the undue diversion of funds into speculative operations, and for other purposes.” The measure was sponsored by Sen. Carter Glass (D-VA) and Rep. Henry Steagall (D-AL). Glass, a former Treasury secretary, was the primary force behind the act. Steagall, then chairman of the House Banking and Currency Committee, agreed to support the act with Glass after an amendment was added to permit bank deposit insurance.1 On June 16, 1933, President Roosevelt signed the bill into law.” - Glass Steagall Act - http://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h1504.html, http://www.federalreservehistory.org/Events/DetailView/25,

It seems that during that previous financial crisis our country’s leadership were also “under extreme pressure” by their “constituency” to “do something.” Based on the nature of this Banking Act, increased public and regulatory transparency was deemed to be needed. It was manifested as a separation between traditional banking and more speculative commercial and investment banking.

I recently watched a documentary on YouTube about the use of technology in investing entitled Wall Street Codehttps://m.youtube.com/watch?v=GEAGdwHXfLQ. The introduction to this video shows the “sleepy” very passive nature of mortgage banking prior to the leveraging of technology in investing. At that time, mortgages were thought to be the basis of our financial society and security. As such, they were “rock solid,” highly rated and very low risk. After all, people never defaulted on their homes because they were checked financially and could not get a mortgage if they didn’t “qualify.” Mortgage banking was presented as extremely boring, as nothing ever changed since the implementation of the 1933 legislation.

However, in the early years of the 21st century, these rock solid investments were modified to make them more “sexy” due to changes in this 1933 legislation. Yields increased and the investment community started making “big” bucks with very low risk. To fuel this massive “cash cow”, more and more people had to be able to get mortgages, regardless of financial qualifications. While the financial ratings of the mortgages stayed the same, increased risk was introduced via non-qualified buyers.

Part of this change was brought about by the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, signed into law by President Bill Clinton in 1999. The following history is noted by Dave Manuel on his website, dated July 23, 2016.

“On November 12th, 1999, Bill Clinton signed into law the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, which repealed SOME of the provisions of the Glass-Steagall Act. … So, as a result of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, a commercial bank would be able to buy an insurance company, or a commercial bank would be able to buy an investment bank, etc.

The three co-sponsors of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act were:

Sen. Phil Gramm - R
Rep. Jim Leach - R
Rep. Thomas J. Bliley, Jr. – R

In 1999, the Republicans held a majority in both the Senate and the House of Representatives.

The final version of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act passed the House by a vote of 362-57 and the Senate by a vote of 90-8. This made the bill "veto proof", meaning that if Clinton had decided to veto, the bill would have been passed anyways. Having said that, if Clinton truly didn't want the bill to become law, he could have vetoed the bill in a symbolic gesture, but this did not happen.

Many people point to the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act as a major reason why the financial sector imploded in 2008.

When it comes to pointing fingers, both parties get the blame. The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act was co-sponsored by three Republicans, signed into law by a Democratic president and had the overwhelming support of both parties when it was eventually passed.” - http://www.davemanuel.com/fact-check-did-bill-clinton-repeal-the-glass-steagall-act-120/

Both Republicans and Democrats in positons of leadership and power benefitted greatly from these changes in the financial system. Massive transfers of wealth from the bottom 99% to the top 1% took place due to this change in legislation. Anyone in management of a bank such as Goldman Sachs, or the financial system, such as Ted Cruz’s wife, obviously benefited immensely.

Two distinct positions have been taking form since the financial crisis of 2008. The pro-Republican position is that one of the main causes of the financial meltdown of 2008/2009 is reported to be the repeal that separated commercial banking from investment banking. A USA Today article by James Rickards entitled Repeal of Glass-Steagall Caused the Financial Crisis, dated August 27, 2012 notes:

“The big bank boosters and analysts who should know better are repeating the falsehood that repeal of Glass-Steagall had nothing to do with the Panic of 2008.

In fact, the financial crisis might not have happened at all but for the 1999 repeal of the Glass-Steagall law that separated commercial and investment banking for seven decades. If there is any hope of avoiding another meltdown, it's critical to understand why Glass-Steagall repeal helped to cause the crisis. Without a return to something like Glass-Steagall, another greater catastrophe is just a matter of time.” - http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/economic-intelligence/2012/08/27/repeal-of-glass-steagall-caused-the-financial-crisis

Mr. Rickards states the cause of the financial meltdown in simple terms:

“It was Glass-Steagall that prevented the banks from using insured depositories to underwrite private securities and dump them on their own customers. This ability along with financing provided to all the other players was what kept the bubble-machine going for so long.”

A more liberal and moderate position is as follows. Aaron Klein of the Brookings Institute writes in his July 19, 2016 article entitled Why is Glass-Steagall so politically popular and what does it really mean?

“Glass-Steagall separated the commercial and investment banking and the business of insurance from each other. Firms had to specialize in one of those areas and could not cross business lines. Separating business lines was a response to the factors that caused the Great Depression.

The surprise last-minute addition of a plank in the Republican platform embracing Glass-Steagall Act mirrors a call in the Democratic platform inserted by Bernie Sanders’ supporters to do the same, in spite of the fact that Hillary Clinton has explicitly rejected it.

Including it in the GOP platform is surprising and is a major about-face for Republicans. It contradicts House Financial Services Chairman Jeb Hensarling (R-TX), who just weeks ago proposed an alternative financial regulatory system of increasing minimum bank capital in return for less regulation. Repealing Glass-Steagall in the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 was a signature victory of the conservative movement’s deregulatory agenda, which was also supported by President Bill Clinton. Why is Glass-Steagall now so politically popular and what does it really mean?

Bringing back Glass-Steagall is good politics and bad public policy, as is often the case. It is good politics because it taps into the belief by the American public that the Depression Era generation, faced with their financial crisis, made smart reforms that worked. Those changes did work and many of them still do, such as federal deposit insurance, the creation of the Securities and Exchange Commission to police Wall Street, and a series of investment laws designed to protect investors. At some point, the thinking goes, we strayed from the wisdom of our grandparents, and in our zest to harness the powers of markets we made critical mistakes, unleashing a tide of forces that created our own financial crisis. Almost a decade later after the Great Recession, the American public is still extremely angry at Wall Street and wants change.” - http://www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2016/07/19-why-is-glass-steagall-so-politically-popular-what-does-it-really-mean-klein

However, along came the election cycle of 2016. With an increasingly “ingrown” political elite, distinctions between the candidates and political parties are required, whether they exist or not. As such, the financial system became one of those distinctions. Needless to say, the repeal of Glass-Steagall is a very politically charged issue in today’s political climate. Both political parties are jockeying for position on this economic issue in the election of 2016. The following quotations make this very apparent.

While I am not taking a position on the reinstitution of the Glass-Steagall Act issue, it is important to note the Republican “plank.” The following was noted about Donald Trump’s speech to the convention on July 22, 2016. It is as follows:

“No mention of efforts to cut financial regulation. Nothing about the Republican Party platform's new aim to break up the big banks. And not a word about Hillary Clinton's long-standing ties to Wall Street kingpins and the tens of millions she's accepted in donations from them.

Trump's failure to mention banks was all the more surprising considering that one of the few tidbits of actual policy news to come out of the Republican gathering in Cleveland was a plank in the party platform to reinstitute the Glass-Steagall Act. Since the Great Depression, that regulation had installed a firewall between commercial and investment banking, but its repeal in 1998 is often cited as helping cause the financial crisis.”

Source: http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/the-one-key-word-that-trump-left-out-of-his-rnc-speech/ar-BBuFKK5?li=BBnb4R7

My perspective on this issue, as we go into the Democratic Convention is similar to that of my previous blog, entitled American Infrastructure – One of the Things Which Defies Logic, http://hcourtyoung.blogspot.com/2016/07/american-infrastructure-one-of-things.html. Regardless of the statements to the contrary made by the long standing politicians such as Hillary, Cruz, McCain, Romney, Christy and others, they have benefitted by keeping the status quo. They clearly are the problem, not the solution.

How and why is this so?

It is fairly simple, maybe even transparent. There have been very few “new” faces in leadership in Washington D.C. for a long time. Those that say they are new, typically come from the “political” or “economic” elite. Many, such as the Bush family, are from “political dynasties” formed from years in power and are accustomed to wealth. They, and their colleagues, Republican and Democrat, have had years to resolve the economic and political problems. However, the same problems remain with very little happening except those same people amassing immense wealth for themselves and their heirs. How can we continue to think about electing people like Hillary, Jeb, Ted or Chris, as well as, many of our candidates who currently reside as fixtures in Congress in Washington, D.C., when we truly need both fresh ideas and a different view of the world?

Candidates like Donald Trump, the current Republican nominee, and the deposed Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders, are truly fresh faces on the political scene. While you may not like their ideas, policy positions or personalities, either of these men would bring a different perspective to the office of President. Mr. Sanders was truly marginalized by the Democratic party, and they tried the same with Mr. Trump. These are not the only people this has happened to. One great example from previous elections was Ron Paul. He had the support of many of our youth in his campaign but was totally marginalized by the Republican party in favor of the candidate of the Bush dynasty.

As you watch the upcoming Democratic convention, take heed of the candidate’s statements and party positions. Ask yourself several questions. Where have you heard these statements before? How many times? For how many years? What has changed? If you are truly honest with yourself, you can’t escape the fact that the vast majority of politicians are saying the same things in 2016 that they were saying in past election cycles. For example, Hilary Clinton’s positions are very similar to that of her husband President Bill Clinton. You might counter that this is only “party politics” which she must adhere. But still, what really do you think will change with her in office?

You have a unique opportunity to change this political structure. Donald Trump, truly, is a new face in American politics. Is he the ideal solution? Probably not. I definitely don’t think he will accomplish anywhere as much as many people would like to see. However, the real opportunity is twofold and probably longer term.

First, he will bring new ideas and a new business perspective to the Washington beltway, and to the political and economic elite, which has been in power for these many years. While the changes may be slight, it doesn’t take much of a directional change in thinking to alter the course of leadership over a generation. Hopefully, he will bring a measure of transparency to our current political and economic (banking) systems.

Secondly, and maybe more importantly, his children, who are in business with him, seem to be very bright and well educated. With a Trump presidency, may come a completely new, more business oriented (as opposed to crony capitalistic) dynasty to the American political scene. American politics, just like the politics of Russia, China and all the other first world countries of the world, seem to require the development of dynasties in order to continue in leadership positions for more than a few years [note President Jimmy Carter]. I suggest it is time to introduce a new political dynasty to the American political scene. Who knows, it might be much more transparent than those we currently have.

Sincerely,

H. Court Young
Author, publisher, speaker and geologist
Promoting awareness through the written word
Research, freelance writing & self-publishing services
Facebook: HCourtYoung
Phone: 303-726-8320
Email: tmcco@msn.com
Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/hcourtyoung
Twitter: http://twitter.com/hcourtyoung
Blog: http://hcourtyoung.blogspot.com

Sent by Windows 10

Saturday, July 9, 2016

American Infrastructure – One of the Things Which Defies Logic

 

As America just celebrated its 240th birthday on July 4, 2016, I noted that I have been seeing an increasing number of articles about the state of the United States water and electrical infrastructure. As I reviewed these articles, both current and historic, a pattern which defies logic (at least in my opinion) is clearly apparent. Before I explain this statement, I need to present some background.

When I wrote and published my two books involving the water infrastructure (Understanding Water Rights and Conflicts, Second Edition, 2004) and (Understanding Water and Terrorism, 2010), I was very concerned with the state of America’s water and electrical infrastructure. These books were written with the intention of presenting a simple, easy to understand explanation of these two infrastructures and the relationship between them. Both books are available in EPub and Kindle format at the links above.

Following is a select list of a few of the many articles which I have scanned and organized since the years I published these two books. Note this list is not at all comprehensive but it does reflect the tone of the engineering, electrical and water professionals who understand the problem. It also reflects the variety of publications which touch on these very critical infrastructures.

Article Title

Publication

Publication Date

Denver Firm’s Mine Poisons River

Rocky Mountain News

August 23, 1995

The 138 Billion Dollar Clean Water Solution

NUCA Magazine

April 1997

EPA Forecasts Clean Water Treatment Needs

Environmental Marketplace News

October 1997

Nation’s Water Costs Rushing Higher

USA Today

September 28, 2002

Congress Trims State Revolving Funds

WaterWorld

Feb 2012

New Report Highlights Staggering Costs Ahead for Water Infrastructure

WaterWorld Magazine, Waterworld.com

April 2012

How a Smart Water system can save money

Water/Wastewater Magazine

April 2012

Troubled Waters

Christian Science Monitor Weekly

December 3, 2012

The Pending Water Shortage

Chemical Engineering Magazine

June 2013

The Power of Water

Net Zero Magazine, www.nzhmagazne.com

September 2013

Water Wise

Emergency Management Magazine

Sept/Oct 2014

Americans’ Deeply Concerned about Water Infrastructure

WaterWorld Magazine, Waterworld.com

March 2016

Billions Pledged to Improve US Water Infrastructure

WaterWorld Magazine, Waterworld.com

May 2016

Senate Panel Eyes Water Infrastructure Needs

WaterWorld Magazine, Waterworld.com

June 2016

Poor US Infrastructure Could Cost $1.4 Trillion in 10 Years

Material Handling and Logistics (NHL) Magazine, MHLNews.com

June 2016

National Infrastructure shortfall continues to grow

Logistics Management Magazine, Logisticsmgmt.com

June 2016

The June, 2016 Logistics Management magazine article entitled National Infrastructure shortfall continues to grow sums up the challenge very well. It states:

“An ongoing and ever-mounting deficit for U.S. infrastructure continues to be the norm., according to the most recent edition of the “Failure of Act” report by the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). Lack of sufficient investment into infrastructure will result in U. S. businesses being less efficient, with business productivity and GDP falling, coupled with drops in employment and personal income. From a financial perspective, ASCE said that from 2016 to 2025, each U. S. household stands to lose $3,500 in disposable income annually because of infrastructure deficiencies, with that loss pegged to rise to $5,100 annually from 2026 to 2040 if not addressed. And if it goes unattended by 2025, the U. S. economy is expected to lose nearly $4 trillion in GDP with a loss of 2.5 million jobs. As for the current state of U. S. infrastructure, ASCE was clear that the U. S. infrastructure is not making the grade, giving it an average of D+.”

Given that this is the case, and that the ASCE gave the infrastructure the same “D” grade back in 2002, and before, things have not changed much. As I note in my book Understanding Water and Terrorism:

“Humans can live only minutes without air, several days without water and weeks without food. Yet, for most of us, the thought of not having “a drink of water” when we are thirsty is foreign. Very few of us would deliberately forgo a drink of water for even a day. The average amount of water used per person (depending on activity) is .2 to 15 liters a day (3.7 liters=1 gallon) with the average drink being .2 liters.

Because water is so important to our survival, our water supply systems were identified as one of eight critical infrastructure systems in Presidential Decision Directive 63 (PDD 63). This Directive issued on May 22, 1998, was intended to achieve and maintain the capability to protect our nation’s critical infrastructure from intentional acts of terror.”

However, even with numerous books and an increasing number of articles about these two critical infrastructures, the electrical grid and the water supply system, Americans don’t appear to comprehend the reality of the problem. The following is from my blog entitled Heightened Awareness presented in October 2006.

“Only heightened public awareness of issues like energy, water and terrorism will really make a difference to the survival of this country. While very few of us need to be experts, a good working knowledge about these extremely important topics allows us to exchange meaningful ideas and question the experts and leadership. For some reason our politicians are unwilling to lead us. So the general public needs to take the lead. Need we continue to be puerile about these issues?

Sadly, it seems to me that our country’s leadership actually reflects us very well. We all seem to want instant answers and quick fixes. It seems that both major political parties, Republicans and Democrats, are more motivated by self-interest than whether America survives as a country. The latest public outcry is often designed to deflect our attention away from key survival issues. The economic bottom line seems to be the most important issue in our lives and our society.

Worse, we do not seem to realize the need to know more about these critical survival issues. We seem to be satisfied with the information contained in 60 second sound bites, unwilling to make an effort to become informed to have meaningful discussions, find viable solutions and insuring that we can maintain our way of life.”

Clearly this problem of a rapidly declining infrastructure has transcended four, if not more, presidential administrations. Starting with the Clinton Administration, and continuing through the current administration, the ASCE infrastructure grade has remained at a level of “D.” This clearly is not a “Republican” or “Democratic” issue, since it spanned both types of administrations. The minor changes / improvements made over the last 30 years do not even begin to address the problem with either of these infrastructures. They don’t even keep up with the degradation due to the passage of time.

You might say the improvement / replacement of these infrastructures is purely in the hands of the utilities which own and operate them. If they were completely a private enterprise, that might be true. However, these utilities are public-private entities. They are governed by federal regulation and take “public money” for operation and maintenance. This quasi-municipal status puts them directly into the public arena, and subject to the whims of the political elite and ruling class.

So how do these two infrastructures defy logic? Let me explain.

Given that we need both the water and electrical infrastructure to survive (both personally and as a society), and that the decline of these infrastructures has been consistent and constant over the last four administrations, why do we keep electing the same class of people to both Congress and the Presidency? Yes, they may be different because they have an “R” or “D” behind their names, but they state the same old platitudes, positions and espouse the same policies. The people we have put into office (president and congress) over the last 30 years have clearly been totally ineffective with respect to leadership involving our water infrastructure and electrical grid.

These two infrastructures are critical to the survival and sustainability of our society, yet presidential administrations and congresses come and go, and there is no change. Waiting for them to make the necessary changes via their leadership clearly is not working. Things are actually getting worse, as the engineering life of the components are ebbing away. The majority of the water infrastructure is definitely beyond its engineering life of 50 years. The electrical grid is continuously being overtaxed due to the exponential advance of technology and the use of the cloud. How can we continue to re-elect the same people to “leadership” positions given the fact that they are unwilling to make the changes that are so critically necessary to sustain our society? It seems logical to me that we, as the electorate, would at some point in time, take notice that our survival is actually at risk, and demand change by putting people in leadership positions who have a chance of making the necessary changes in focus, or at the very least, actually talk about making changes.

Take the current election cycle for the U. S. President. Why are we, as a society, even thinking of electing someone who is a member of the “political class”, such as Hillary Clinton. She has been a “political insider” and member of the “1%” ruling elite since her husband was president. How can we truly expect any change beyond some minor fixes around the “edge” of the problem, with people like her in office? They seem to want to keep the “status quo” because they are being enriched by the current system and see no reason to change.

This is probably the best reason to vote for someone like Donald Trump or Bernie Sanders. Clearly they are not “political insiders,” nor have they been in political leadership. It stands to reason that, while we may not like their stated positions, there is a possibility that they may bring a new psychology to the top “ruling elite” and political class. Their election to office has a chance to slightly shift the course of this country. For example, both of these men espouse positions far different than that of the “political insiders.” This is clearly the case, otherwise there would not be the extreme push from the Republican and Democratic leadership, and their financial supporters, to have both candidates marginalized and discredited, in favor of more “traditional candidates.”

We have, for the last 30 years, been “shooting ourselves in the foot” with respect to our most important critical infrastructure components the water infrastructure and electrical grid. By electing and re-electing these same people to political office and leadership, we have lost time, expertise and opportunity to make the changes necessary for converting 19th century infrastructures into 21st century infrastructures. It defies logic to believe that anything will change with respect to the water or electrical infrastructure based on past performance, if people like Hillary, Jeb or Ted, as well as the many other “political insiders”, are kept in “leadership” roles in this country.

Sincerely,

H. Court Young
Author, publisher, speaker and geologist
Promoting awareness through the written word
Research, freelance writing & self-publishing services
Facebook: HCourtYoung
Phone: 303-726-8320
Email: tmcco@msn.com
Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/hcourtyoung
Twitter: http://twitter.com/hcourtyoung
Blog: http://hcourtyoung.blogspot.com